Confidential Business Plan · Verified · Prepared for David
Verified is a platform that acquires trade firms, puts them on the Verified System — AI back office + JobTread + a standardized field kit + playbooks + the Verified estimation process — and consolidates them into a scaled, recurring-revenue enterprise built to sell. We prove the model in electric, acquire electrical firms to a target size, then start the next trade the following year and grow it the same way. The value engine is multiple arbitrage — buy owner-operator shops at ~4×, sell the platform at ~8.5× — amplified by scale, recurring service revenue, and leverage.
Illustrative planning document. Figures are estimates for discussion, not guarantees, projections of actual results, or investment advice.
We are building a platform that acquires trade firms in Scottsdale, puts them on the Verified System, and consolidates them into a scaled enterprise built to sell. We prove the model in electric for less than half a million — the same ~$1.121M Stage-1 startup also buys the first electrical firm — then deploy ~$10M of equity (plus ~$6M of acquisition debt / seller notes) in gated waves to acquire 9 firms → 57 service trucks → ~$37M of platform revenue and ~$4.5M EBITDA. The value engine is multiple arbitrage — buying owner-operator shops at ~4× and selling the consolidated platform at ~8.5× — amplified by scale, recurring service revenue, and leverage. At exit that returns David roughly ~2.8× / ~33% IRR (~$28M) on ~$10M in. (The package's dedicated Executive Summary carries the full overview and headline metrics.)
Two forces are colliding: skilled electricians are retiring faster than they can be replaced, and buyers are paying record multiples to consolidate the trades. That gap is where the value is. The numbers frame it: ~30% of union electricians are nearing retirement, roughly 10k leave vs. 7k enter the field each year, and 81,000 annual electrician openings are projected for 2024–2034.
The roles hardest to automate are exactly the skilled trades. Electrical demand is climbing (EV charging, electrification, data centers) while the workforce ages out and apprenticeships take four to five years to fill; the broader skilled-trades shortage may cost the U.S. economy on the order of $1 trillion a year. A business built around retaining and training electricians owns the bottleneck.
PE-backed platforms — Apex, Wrench Group, Sila, Turnpoint, Redwood, and others — are aggressively buying HVAC, plumbing, and electrical firms and paying up for scale. Owner-operator shops trade at roughly ~4× earnings; a scaled, professionalized platform with recurring service revenue sells at ~8.5×. That spread is the opportunity: we buy small and sell big, manufacturing exactly what those buyers want — multiple staffed locations, one brand, clean books, service agreements, and professional systems. The window is buying before the national consolidators saturate a metro, and Scottsdale's fragmented, owner-operator trades market is still wide open.
Every division doubles as a training ground on a repeatable ladder: hire a helper as a W-2 employee, pair them with a veteran on real jobs, and train them until they pass the Verified exam. Passing earns the "Verified" designation — the tradesperson gets their own company truck and, in turn, trains the next helper. Each rung spawns the next, so headcount compounds instead of bottlenecking. Acquisitions build scale; the training pipeline staffs and retains it — letting each acquired firm grow when competitors can't hire, and de-risking the owner-and-key-tech departure a buyer discounts most. Longer term it extends into a fundable trade-school arm.
The firm's single biggest execution risk is labor: you can hold every license, but you can't self-perform a whole job without skilled people. The Verified Training System attacks that risk at the root — converting the industry's defining shortage from our constraint into our advantage, a durable, hard-to-copy moat a national acquirer pays up for.
The model is acquisition-led: we stand up and prove a trade with a lean, licensed launch, then acquire firms in that trade and put them on the Verified System. The hook — a panel upgrade in electric, a sewer scope in plumbing, a tune-up in HVAC — exists only to get one truck rolling and stand up the licensed entity until the first firm in that trade is acquired; it is a bridge, not the growth engine. Acquisitions build each division. We go deep in one trade, then start the next the following year. Equity is called in waves as deals close, each gated on prior integrations proving out.
Each trade launches with a sharp, low-friction offer that gets one truck rolling and stands up the licensed entity; the offer funds the bridge, and the acquisitions build the division. Electric opens on the panel-upgrade hook (a need, not a want, for Scottsdale's 1970s–80s homes, with customer financing lifting close rates); plumbing on a sewer-scope-plus-hydrojetting offer; HVAC on a clean-and-service tune-up. The Verified System is the product every acquired firm is put on, and the Construction & Civil backbone (KB-1 and A engineering licenses, already in hand via Icarus) holds whole jobs and draws site/underground work.
Two markets matter. The hook's demand pool — Scottsdale's aging housing stock — is more than enough to get one truck rolling and prove the electric entity; it is the bridge, not the growth engine. The real prize is the fragmented, owner-operator trades market we consolidate: hundreds of retiring-owner electrical, plumbing, and HVAC shops with no succession plan, acquirable at ~4× and worth ~8.5× on our system.
The bridge demand, sized. Of Scottsdale's ~139,000 housing units (67% owner-occupied), two pools drive two offers: the 1970s beachhead (~18,900) and older homes need a safety-and-capacity upgrade (60–100A service and the hazardous Federal Pacific / Zinsco panels that must go), while the larger 1980s cohort (~27,800) drives a faster, high-margin modern 42-space panel swap for homes out of breaker space for an EV charger, hot tub, or addition. Together, all pre-1990 homes (~67,800 — nearly half of Scottsdale) are the addressable market, on the order of ~$340M in panel work at a ~$5,000 ticket, before any EV-charger or service cross-sell. That is ample demand to fund the bridge until the first acquisition closes — but the flywheel is the roll-up, not the panel job, and the same establish → prove → acquire → consolidate play repeats in plumbing, HVAC, and civil.
The hook's unit economics are healthy on their own: a conservative ~$5,200 blended panel ticket lands at a grounded ~32% gross margin (~$1,665 gross profit), and one W-2 crew covers its fully-loaded overhead at roughly seven panels a week. But the bridge is not the business: the business is buying firms and putting them on the Verified System, where recurring service agreements and professionalized operations re-rate the earnings. The per-job cost stack, acquisition math, and fleet-scaling are in the Financial Model.
The value engine is multiple arbitrage. Owner-operator shops sell at ~4× earnings; a scaled, systematized platform with recurring service revenue and clean books blends to ~8.5× at exit (sum-of-the-parts across trades). Buying 9 firms at ~4× and selling the consolidated ~$37M / ~$4.5M-EBITDA platform at ~8.5× is the payday — amplified by scale, recurring revenue, and ~$6M of acquisition leverage. Recurring service agreements are the single largest lever pushing the multiple toward the top of its range, and the platform can be sold whole or carved off by trade. Valuation and exit math are in the Financial Model; each trade is detailed in the Five Divisions section.
Once a trade is proven, we buy owner-operator shops — fastest where the owner has a loyal book and no succession plan. Deals blend upfront cash with seller notes and earn-outs, extended by SBA/bank debt (~$6M across the program), and the joining owner can stay on for a wage and help drive the rebrand. An owner who joins gets ~$250k+/yr of delivered value — AI+PM, back office, estimating, marketing/lead-gen, group purchasing, and recruiting — plus a real exit plus a salary: the seller's triple win, close to a shop's entire annual profit delivered every year on top of the sale. Purchase multiples, the M&A/integration team, and deal costs are all costed and gated — equity is called in waves only as prior integrations prove out. Deal structure and live Arizona comps are in the Acquisition Playbook and the Five Divisions section.
Each trade is its own licensed entity with its own qualifying party — the vehicle we stand up with a hook, then grow by acquiring shops onto it. One fact of Arizona licensing anchors the stack: a KB-1 general building contractor can build the entire job except three carved-out scopes — electrical, plumbing, and HVAC. Hold those three specialty licenses, add an "A" general engineering license for site and underground work, and the platform operates and consolidates every trade under one roof. That is precisely the license stack we are assembling.
Arizona's Registrar of Contractors ties every licensed entity to a qualifying party — an individual who passes the trade exam, meets the experience bar, and carries the bond and insurance. Our stack:
| Division | License | Qualifying party |
|---|---|---|
| Construction | KB-1 general building | Steve |
| Electric | CR-11 / C-11 electrical | Adrian |
| HVAC | HVAC (Yr 3) | QP TBD |
| Plumbing | Plumbing (Yr 2) | Lead TBD |
| Civil | A general engineering (Yr 4) | Steve |
The KB-1 and A are already in hand via Icarus; the electrical QP (Adrian) launches now; Plumbing, HVAC, and Civil activate their QPs as those divisions open on the gated schedule. A QP can qualify only one ROC-licensed entity at a time, so each division is its own entity with its own QP; if a QP leaves there is a ~60-day replacement window — which is why we develop backup qualifiers as each division matures.
Holding all three specialty licenses plus the A engineering license lets the platform operate every trade under one roof — capturing each scope's margin and controlling schedule and quality end to end across acquired firms. Replicating this stack from scratch takes years, and Steve already cleared the hardest part: he holds the KB-1 and A licenses via Icarus (as QP) — the Construction and Civil divisions — both simply reinstated (a fee-only step). Construction goes live in Year 1; the A is in hand from day one but Civil is deliberately held to ~Year 4 as its work arises, so the firm owns the hardest license to earn without carrying a division before its work exists. Acquisitions plug straight into a licensed platform.
The plan pairs Steve Lugo (Founder & CEO, holding the KB-1 and A licenses, ~20 active projects and ~500 vetted subs) with David as passive, preferred capital partner on a 55/45 split — capital returned first, then a 10% preferred return, then the split. Steve is the hands-on integration engine early — installing the Verified System and doing the estimating up front — and becomes cleanly CEO once the Integration Manager (~$130k, on ~Yr1–2) is under him. His pay runs on a Staged Compensation Schedule tied to his real McCully transition — objective triggers, not discretion: $30k in the prove phase (still drawing full McCully pay), $150k once the first firm is acquired, $250k fully departed and full-time, then scaling to $350k at full platform scale — roughly ~$1.6M cumulative over the hold, floor-protected and paid ahead of David's preferred return. Each trade is anchored by its own incentivized QP lead (Adrian on Electric, then the plumbing and HVAC QPs); a field estimator (~$80k, on early) quotes the work — the trades' profit lever — and a funded M&A/integration team sources deals, runs diligence, and migrates each firm onto the system. Crews are W-2 in company trucks with full insurance from day one; trade leads plus developed backup QPs progressively reduce the key-person dependency a buyer discounts most. Roles and comp are in Organization & Roles; governance and the waterfall in Structure & Process.
Most small trade shops compete on the truck and the tools. We compete on systems — the Verified System: an AI-driven back office, JobTread, a standardized field kit, and playbooks that turn bids, proposals, and disputes into an operating advantage. It is exactly what we install on every firm we acquire, and what re-rates a ~4× shop into part of an ~8.5× platform.
A small shop's owner is the bottleneck for every quote, dispute, and proposal. Put every acquired firm on these shared systems and each inherits capacity and professionalism from day one — the operational lift that turns a bought-at-4× shop into a recurring-revenue piece of a platform that sells at ~8.5×.
Directionally, platform revenue ramps as we acquire firms trade by trade — from ~$1.2M in Year 1 to ~$37M by Year 6 across 9 firms and 57 trucks, reaching ~$4.5M EBITDA (~12% margin). Sold at a blended ~8.5× (sum-of-the-parts), that supports an exit around ~$47M enterprise value → ~$40M equity, or roughly ~2.8× / ~33% IRR (~$28M) to David and ~$11.5M of carry to Steve. Equity is called in waves as deals close, each gated on prior integrations proving out, with ~$6M of acquisition debt / seller notes extending the ~$10M across the 9 acquisitions. The full year-by-year build — revenue, EBITDA, equity called, per-acquisition contribution, returns, and exit sensitivities — is in the Financial Model section.
David commits ~$10M of equity, called in gated waves as acquisitions close and paired with ~$6M of acquisition debt / seller notes. The program opens with a ~$1.121M lean startup — "less than half a million to prove it" (the ~$461k prove phase) — that builds the Verified System first (near-zero burn while Steve is under contract), stands up the electric entity, gets one truck rolling, and buys the first electrical firm (~$660k). Scale waves then fund further acquisitions only as each prior integration clears defined revenue, margin, and quality criteria — so if the model stalls after the launch, no scale capital has moved. The full phased deployment and line-by-line use of funds are in Capital Deployment (§05).
The floor — and an honest word on leverage. If we prove the trade but never acquire, the organic, one-firm build is still worth roughly ~$16M at a ~1.8× return — that is now the downside floor, not the headline. The acquisition-led plan is the base case, and the ~$6M of acquisition debt cuts both ways: it amplifies the equity return in the ~8.5× exit and also amplifies risk if integrations slip or rates move. That is why deals are costed, waves are gated, and we go deep in one trade before starting the next.
The plan's risks are known and manageable — most are addressed by structure (how we buy and license) rather than hope. On exit-market timing, the platform is cash-flowing and holdable with no forced sale — sold whole, carved by trade, or kept — and consolidator demand is broad and durable, not a single-buyer bet.
| Risk | Mitigation |
|---|---|
| Qualifying-party dependency — one QP per entity; a departure risks the license | Each division is its own licensed entity with its own QP; develop and incentivize backup qualifiers early; ~60-day replacement window as backstop. |
| Overpaying for an acquisition — the roll-up's core risk | Multiples underwritten at ~4× and fully costed; deals blend cash with seller notes and earn-outs; each equity wave gated on prior deals proving out, with the discipline to walk. |
| Integration & operator/customer transfer — a firm doesn't take to the system, or relationships walk with the seller | Deep in one trade before the next; a funded M&A/integration team stages each migration and gated waves halt capital if one slips; retain joining owners on multi-year earn-outs and a wage, and migrate customer relationships onto the system, off any single person. |
| Leverage & skilled-labor scarcity — ~$6M of debt amplifies risk; labor is the industry's defining constraint | Debt sized to comfortable coverage from acquired cash flow, blended with seller financing, never drawn ahead of a gated deal. Labor is also the thesis — mitigated by the training pipeline, retention/branding, and Steve's trade relationships, with the AI back office removing the estimating bottleneck. |
Concrete, sequenced milestones — with the first moves executable within weeks. The full trade-by-trade sequence (electric → plumbing → HVAC → civil, over months 0–72) is the Model above; the near-term priorities are below.
Two things unlock everything else: David's ~$10M commitment and structure, and building the Verified System while reinstating the licenses (KB-1 & A) with Adrian as the Electric QP. For less than half a million we prove the trade and put one truck on the road within a quarter — and the same Stage-1 startup buys the first firm; then the acquisitions continue, trade by trade, until the platform is at scale and ready to sell.